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19 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.2%
QPR
27.1%
Draw
38.7%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

QPR

vs
1.44

Norwich

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).