Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.6%
Chaves
15.5%
Draw
79.0%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
Chaves
vs
2.13
Porto
Markets
BTTS27.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.5%
0-1
17.7%
0-3
13.2%
0-0
7.9%
0-4
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
1-1
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
1-0
3.3%
0-5
3.0%
1-4
2.6%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).