Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Crotone
29.6%
Draw
27.7%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Crotone
vs
1.06
Padova
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).