Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Grimsby
25.6%
Draw
56.5%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Grimsby
vs
1.72
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).