Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Bari
30.2%
Draw
23.1%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Bari
vs
0.88
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).