Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Pacos Ferreira
27.9%
Draw
28.2%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Pacos Ferreira
vs
0.92
Boavista
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).