Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Gosport Borough
20.8%
Draw
56.4%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Gosport Borough
vs
2.02
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).