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30 Aug 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Doncaster
23.5%
Draw
32.4%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Doncaster

vs
1.23

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).