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17 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.7%
Genk
15.3%
Draw
10.0%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.77

Genk

vs
0.96

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.3%
5-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).