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26 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.3%
Bristol Rvs
21.9%
Draw
52.8%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.73

Reading

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).