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AHT: 02CSV

27 Feb 2024 · 19:30

Como

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.8%
Lecco
20.8%
Draw
67.4%
Como

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Lecco

vs
2.14

Como

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).