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27 Jun 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Wigan
36.1%
Draw
37.3%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Wigan

vs
0.94

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS33.2%
Over 0.580.4%
Over 1.551.4%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.6%
0-1
16.3%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).