Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
27.8%
Draw
36.8%
Wurzburger Kickers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.40
Wurzburger Kickers
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).