Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Malaga
23.5%
Draw
25.4%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Malaga
vs
1.15
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).