Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Baltika Kaliningrad
24.2%
Draw
4.3%
Bodrum FK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.23
Bodrum FK
Markets
BTTS17.0%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
25.1%
2-0
20.5%
0-0
17.0%
3-0
10.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
3.0%
3-1
2.5%
5-0
1.4%
4-1
1.0%
1-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).