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AHT: 00CSV

15 Mar 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Empoli
25.3%
Draw
51.4%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Empoli

vs
1.53

Bologna

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).