Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Elche
16.0%
Draw
7.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Elche
vs
0.58
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
1-0
13.0%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).