Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Holstein Kiel
25.6%
Draw
48.5%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.75
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).