Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Lorient
23.7%
Draw
39.3%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Lorient
vs
1.53
Lyon
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).