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17 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.4%
Colchester
26.6%
Draw
37.0%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Colchester

vs
1.20

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).