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02 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Werder Bremen
29.6%
Draw
33.0%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Werder Bremen

vs
1.15

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).