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HHT: 20CSV

09 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Ajaccio
26.1%
Draw
40.1%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Ajaccio

vs
1.22

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).