Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.8%
Freiburg
21.4%
Draw
14.8%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Freiburg
vs
0.92
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).