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AHT: 22CSV

29 Oct 2025 · 20:05

Monaco

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Nantes
23.5%
Draw
55.3%
Monaco

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Nantes

vs
1.68

Monaco

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).