Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Ceuta
28.9%
Draw
37.1%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Ceuta
vs
1.13
Eibar
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).