Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Pau FC
27.2%
Draw
34.6%
Nordsjælland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Pau FC
vs
1.36
Nordsjælland
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).