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DHT: 01CSV

04 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Westerlo
23.5%
Draw
20.9%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Westerlo

vs
1.09

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).