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AHT: 02

14 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.3%
Cercle Brugge
25.8%
Draw
39.9%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.49

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).