Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Gillingham
23.3%
Draw
21.5%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Gillingham
vs
0.93
Newport County
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).