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16 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.7%
Mallorca
17.7%
Draw
68.6%
Barcelona

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Mallorca

vs
2.45

Barcelona

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-4
4.8%
0-4
4.7%
2-1
4.0%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).