Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Nott'm Forest
25.7%
Draw
61.1%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.77
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).