Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Toulouse
22.9%
Draw
24.2%
Dunkerque
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Toulouse
vs
1.00
Dunkerque
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).