Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Red Star
25.4%
Draw
44.8%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Red Star
vs
1.33
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).