Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Brighton
26.2%
Draw
20.4%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Brighton
vs
1.05
West Ham
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).