Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Montpellier
24.7%
Draw
37.3%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Montpellier
vs
1.26
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).