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AHT: 03

14 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Tipton Town
23.6%
Draw
51.7%
Margate

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Tipton Town

vs
1.67

Margate

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).