Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Benevento
28.5%
Draw
21.7%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Benevento
vs
0.91
Avellino
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).