Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Grimsby
27.3%
Draw
38.3%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Grimsby
vs
1.19
Notts County
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).