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23 Dec 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Cove Rangers
29.0%
Draw
42.4%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Cove Rangers

vs
1.53

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).