Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Leeds
20.1%
Draw
11.0%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Leeds
vs
0.75
Norwich
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).