Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Valenciennes
27.4%
Draw
31.7%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Valenciennes
vs
0.97
Niort
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).