Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.3%
Sampdoria
21.0%
Draw
63.7%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Sampdoria
vs
1.92
Genoa
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.7%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).