Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Genoa
25.1%
Draw
17.3%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Genoa
vs
0.71
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).