Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Lorient
23.2%
Draw
41.7%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Lorient
vs
1.55
Lyon
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).