Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Red Star
23.7%
Draw
52.8%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Red Star
vs
1.55
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).