Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Nurnberg
24.8%
Draw
45.1%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Nurnberg
vs
1.80
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).