Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Livorno
27.5%
Draw
19.1%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Livorno
vs
0.86
Avellino
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).