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28 Dec 2020 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Genclerbirligi
34.7%
Draw
21.1%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Genclerbirligi

vs
0.86

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.1%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).