⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

01 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
72.7%
Bromley
16.0%
Draw
11.4%
Newport County

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Bromley

vs
0.84

Newport County

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).