Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Fiorentina
25.0%
Draw
28.8%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Fiorentina
vs
1.15
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).